Section B
Directions: In this section, you are going to read a passage with ten statements attached to it. Each statement contains information given in one of the paragraphs. Identify the paragraph from which the information is derived. You may choose a paragraph more than once. Each paragraph is marked with a letter. Answer the questions by marking the corresponding letter on Answer Sheet 2.
Science of setbacks:How failure can improve career prospects
A)How do early career setbacks affect our long-term success? Failures can help us learn and overcome our fears. But disasters can still wound us. They can screw us up and set us back. Wouldn’t it be nice if there was genuine, scientifically documented truth to the expression “what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger”?
B)One way social scientists have probed the effects of career setbacks is to look at scientists of very similar qualifications. These scientists, for reasons that are mostly arbitrary, either just missed getting a research grant or just barely made it. In social sciences, this is known as examining “near misses” and “narrow wins” in areas where merit is subjective. That allows researchers to measure only the effects of being chosen or not. Studies in this area have found conflicting results. In the competitive game of biomedical science, research has been done on scientists who narrowly lost or won grant money. It suggests that narrow winners become even bigger winners down the line. In other words, the rich get richer.
C)A 2018 study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, for example, followed researchers in the Netherlands. Researchers concluded that those who just barely qualified for a grant were able to get twice as much money within the next eight years as those who just missed out. And the narrow winners were 50 percent more likely to be given a professorship.
D)Others in the US have found similar effects with National Institutes of Health early-career fellowships launching narrow winners far ahead of close losers. The phenomenon is often referred to as the Matthew effect, inspired by the Bible’s wisdom that to those who have, more will be given. There’s a good explanation for the phenomenon in the book The Formula:The Universal Laws of Success by Albert Laszlo Barabasi. According to Barabasi, it’s easier and less risky for those in positions of power to choose to hand awards and funding to those who’ve already been so recognized.
E)This is bad news for the losers. Small early career setbacks seem to have a disproportionate effect down the line. What didn’t kill them made them weaker. But other studies using the same technique have shown there’s sometimes no penalty to a near miss. Students who just miss getting into top high schools or universities do just as well later in life as those who just manage to get accepted. In this case, what didn’t kill them simply didn’t matter. So is there any evidence that setbacks might actually improve our career prospects? There is now.
F)In a study published in Nature Communications, Northwestern University sociologist Dashun Wang tracked more than 1,100 scientists who were on the border between getting a grant and missing out between 1990 and 2005. He followed various measures of performance over the next decade. These included how many papers they authored and how influential those papers were, as measured by the number of subsequent citations. As expected, there was a much higher rate of attrition(减员) among scientists who didn’t get grants. But among those who stayed on, the close losers performed even better than the narrow winners. To make sure this wasn’t by chance, Wang conducted additional tests using different performance measures. He examined how many times people were first authors on influential studies, and the like.
G)One straightforward reason close losers might outperform narrow winners is that the two groups have comparable ability. In Wang’s study, he selected the most determined, passionate scientists from the loser group and culled(剔除) what he deemed the weakest members of the winner group. Yet the persevering losers still came out on top. He thinks that being a close loser might give people a psychological boost, or the proverbial kick in the pants.
H)Utrecht University sociologist Arnout van de Rijt was the lead author on the 2018 paper showing the rich get richer. He said the new finding is apparently reasonable and worth some attention. His own work showed that although the narrow winners did get much more money in the near future, the actual performance of the close losers was just as good.
I)He said the people who should be paying regard to the Wang paper are the funding agents who distribute government grant money. After all, by continuing to pile riches on the narrow winners, the taxpayers are not getting the maximum bang for their buck if the close losers are performing just as well or even better. There’s a huge amount of time and effort that goes into the process of selecting who gets grants, he said, and the latest research shows that the scientific establishment is not very good at distributing money. “Maybe we should spend less money trying to figure out who is better than who,” he said, suggesting that some more equal dividing up of money might be more productive and more efficient. Van de Rijt said he’s not convinced that losing out gives people a psychological boost. It may yet be a selection effect. Even though Wang tried to account for this by culling the weakest winners, it’s impossible to know which of the winners would have quit had they found themselves on the losing side.
J)For his part, Wang said that in his own experience, losing did light a motivating fire. He recalled a recent paper he submitted to a journal, which accepted it only to request extensive editing, and then reversed course and rejected it. He submitted the unedited version to a more respected journal and got accepted.
K)In sports and many areas of life, we think of failures as evidence of something we could have done better. We regard these disappointments as a fate we could have avoided with more careful preparation, different training, a better strategy, or more focus. And there it makes sense that failures show us the road to success. These papers deal with a kind of failure people have little control over—rejection. Others determine who wins and who loses. But at the very least, the research is starting to show that early setbacks don’t have to be fatal. They might even make us better at our jobs. Getting paid like a winner, though? That’s a different matter.
挫折的科学:失败如何改善职业前景
A)职业生涯早期的挫折是如何影响我们的长期成功的呢?失败可以帮助我们学习和克服自己的恐惧。但是灾难仍然会给我们造成伤害。它们会让我们崩溃,让我们倒退。如果“杀不死你的东西终会让你更强大”这句话包含真实的、科学记录的真理,岂不是很好?
B)社会科学家研究职业挫折所带来的影响的一种方法是,观察资质相当的科学家。这些科学家,大多由于随意的原因,要么刚好错过了一项研究经费,要么勉强获得了经费。在社会科学领域,这被称为调查“惜败”和“险胜”,在这些领域,功绩是具有主观性的。这使得研究人员只能衡量“被选上”与“未被选上”的影响。 39 这一领域的研究已经发现了相互矛盾的研究结果。在生物医学科学的竞争游戏中,(研究人员)对那些以微弱劣势失去或勉强赢得资金的科学家进行了研究。结果表明,险胜者最终会成为更大的赢家。换句话说,富人变得更富有。
C) 43 例如,2018年发表在《美国国家科学院院报》上的一项研究追踪了荷兰的研究人员。研究人员得出结论,与那些刚好错过资助的人相比,那些勉强够格获得资助的人在未来八年内能够获得的经费是他们的两倍。而且,险胜的人获得教授职位的可能性要高出50%。
D)美国的其他研究人员也发现了类似的效应:美国国家卫生研究院的职业起步奖金,险胜的获奖人远远超过紧随其后的失败者。这种现象通常被称为马太效应,由圣经中的智慧“拥有的越多,得到的越多”启发而来的。艾伯特·拉斯洛·巴拉巴西所著的《公式:成功的普遍法则》一书对这一现象做了很好的解释。 37 巴拉巴西认为,对于那些有权有势的人来说,把奖项和资金授予那些已经得到认可的人是更加简单的,且风险更小。
E)这对失败者而言是个坏消息。 45 职业生涯早期的小挫折似乎会对未来产生不成比例的影响。那些没能“杀死”他们的挫折会让他们变得更加脆弱。然而,其他使用同样方法的研究表明,有时候非常接近成功的失败没有什么害处。那些差一点就被顶尖高中或一流大学录取的学生,在未来生活中的表现和那些勉强被成功录取的学生一样好。在这种情况下,没有“杀死”他们的挫折确实不重要了。那么,有没有证据表明挫折其实可以改善我们的职业前景呢?现在就有证据了。
F)在《自然通讯》杂志上发表的一项研究中,西北大学的社会学家王大顺跟踪调查了1100多名在1990年至2005年间介于获得资助和错失资助之间的科学家。他按照各种不同的标准来衡量那些科学家在之后十年里的表现。这些指标标准包括发表论文的数量以及这些论文的影响力——通过随后被引用的次数来衡量。 41 正如所预期的那样,那些没有获得资助的科学家,其流失率会更高。但在那些留下来的科学家中,(获得资助时)排名靠前的失败者的表现甚至比险胜的人还要好。为了确保这不是偶然,王大顺使用不同的绩效衡量指标进行了附加实验。他调查了那些科学家成为有影响力论文的第一作者的次数,以及诸如此类的调查。
G)排名靠前的失败者的表现会比险胜的人还要好,一个直接的原因可能是,这两组人的能力相当。在王大顺的研究中,他从失败的那群人中选择了最坚定的、最有热情的科学家,并剔除掉了胜者组中他认为最弱的成员。然而,坚持不懈的失败者仍然名列前茅。 36 他认为,作为排名靠前的失败者,可能会给人们带来一种心理上的鼓舞,或者像谚语里说的那样,给他一脚。
H)乌得勒支大学的社会学家阿尔努·万·德·瑞吉特是在2018年发表那篇持有“富人变得更富有”观点的论文的第一作者。他说,新的发现显然是合理的,而且值得一些关注。他自己的研究表明,尽管险胜的人在不远的将来确实会获得更多的资金,但以微弱劣势输掉的人的实际表现也同样很好。
I)他说,那些负责分配政府拨款的资助机构应该关注王大顺的论文。 40 毕竟,通过继续把财富堆加在险胜的赢家身上,如果以微弱劣势输掉的人的表现一样好甚至更好,那么纳税人并没有得到最大的回报。他说,在资金获得者的遴选过程中需要投入大量的时间和精力,而最新的研究表明,科学机构并不是很擅长分配资金。 44 “也许我们应该在判断谁更优秀这个过程中减少资金投入,”他说,并暗示,更平等的资金分配可能更富有成效,效率更高。万·德·瑞吉特说,他不相信失败会给人们带来心理上的鼓舞。但这可能是一种选择效应。尽管王大顺试图通过剔除最弱的赢家来解释这一点,但我们不可能知道,如果发现自己处于失利的一方,哪些赢家会退出。
J) 42 对他而言,王大顺说,以他自己的经验,失败确实点燃了一团激发胜欲的熊熊烈火。他回忆起最近他向一家杂志投了一篇论文,该杂志接受了来稿,不过要求对论文进行大量的编辑修订,后来又一改前态拒绝了。他把未修订的版本投给了一家更受尊敬的杂志,获得了采纳。
K)在体育和生活的很多领域,我们认为,失败是我们本可以做得更好的证据。我们认为,只要我们更细心地准备,用不同的训练方式和更好的策略,或者更加专注,我们就可以避免失败的命运。因此,失败为我们指明了成功之路,这是有道理的。这些论文讨论了一种人们几乎无法掌控的失败——拒绝。决定谁赢谁输的是其他人。 38 但至少,研究开始表明,早期的挫折不一定是致命的。它们甚至可能让我们在工作中表现得更出色。但是,能像赢家一样获得报酬吗?那就是另外一回事了。
Being a close loser could greatly motivate one to persevere in their research.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
36.作为很接近成功的失败者可以极大地激励人们坚持他们的研究。
Grant awarders tend to favor researchers already recognized in their respective fields.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
37.授奖者往往更青睐那些在各自领域已经获得认可的研究人员。
Suffering early setbacks might help people improve their job performance.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
38.早期遭受挫折可能有助于人们提升工作表现。
Research by social scientists on the effects of career setbacks has produced contradictory findings.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
39.社会科学家对职业挫折所带来的影响的研究得出了相互矛盾的结果。
It is not to the best interest of taxpayers to keep giving money to narrow winners.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
40.继续把资金给那些险胜的赢家,并不符合纳税人的最佳利益。
Scientists who persisted in research without receiving a grant made greater achievements than those who got one with luck, as suggested in one study.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
41.一项研究表明,没有得到资助还坚持研究的科学家比那些靠运气得到资助的科学家取得了更大的成就。
A research paper rejected by one journal may get accepted by another.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
42.被一家杂志拒绝的研究论文可能会被另一家杂志接受。
According to one recent study, narrow winners of research grants had better chances to be promoted to professors.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
43.根据最近的一项研究,以微弱优势获得研究经费的险胜者晋升教授的几率更大。
One researcher suggests it might be more fruitful to distribute grants on a relatively equal basis.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
44.一位研究人员表示,在相对平等的基础上分配资金可能更富有成效。
Minor setbacks in their early career may have a strong negative effect on the career of close losers.
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
---
45.职业生涯早期的小挫折可能会对非常接近成功的失败者的职业生涯产生强烈的负面影响。